luni, 13 aprilie 2015

semnul anului 2015, 21 ianuarie 2015


Prospectiv A-z

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Tocmai am primit o instiintare despre o isprava de coperta a revistei The Economist in care este prefigurat anul 2015. Ce pareri aveti despre semnificatia acestei reprezentari?

  • Alexandru Botu O sedinta esoterica in Grup se poate organiza?

  • Smaranda Dobrescu O utopie. Poti sa te apropii foarte mult de implinirea ei, dar niciodata nu poate fi atinsa. Principalul este sa crezi in ea. Asa se nasc idealistii. Frumosii nebuni ai marilor orase!

  • Ionel Iani Velciov deci avem o prima linie, al celor mai importanti .... toti au haine destul de colorate semn al unei stari temperamentale ... Ponta este si el pe acolo, dar tocmai s-a aplecat sa isi lege sireturile ... Ciuperca nucleara din spate pare pasnica ... ursuletul panda este pe steroizi ...

  • Fogarassy Paul Ma bucur sa vad ca si Corina Cretu apare in fotografie; sa nu-mi spuneti ca nu ea este blonda in profil din partea drapta ...

  • Octavian Lupu Pe coperta vad ca apar Cameron flancat de Winston Churchilll, Hollande insotit de Napoleon. Merkel si cu Putin nu apar impreuna cu contrapartide istorice.... Eu unul nu ma prea pricep. poate ca-mi decripteaza cineva si pentru mine semnificatia acestei coperte.

  • Smaranda Dobrescu Greu cu decriptatul: As intreba doar de ce Hillary este bucuroasa?

  • Loredana A. Ştirbu stă în spatele chipeşului Putin

  • Smaranda Dobrescu Ai si umor, Loredana, nu numai carti abia aparute! 

  • Loredana A. Ştirbu multumesc Smaranda .Este bine să strecurăm umorul în viaţă.

  • Prospectiv A-z .
    1) http://www.revistasingur.ro/.../12110-ion-mldrescu-qzbor...
    2) http://vigilantcitizen.com/.../economist-2015-cover.../

    Dupa ce veti fi citit toate cele de mai sus, cum ati numi postarea, de uichend? De ce?

  • Octavian Lupu Prospectiv A-z Coperta asta, in masura in care reprezinta ceea ce se spune ca reprezinta, mi se pare un demers cam tampitzel pentru secolul XXI, pe sistem: adica cine cunoaste stie. S-ar mai potrivi si zicerea: viata este complexa si prezinta multe aspecte. Idiotzi.

  • Prospectiv A-z .
    Mai intai si mai intai sa ne convingem ca aceasta coperta e reala si nu o fabricatie. Iat-o:

    http://www.theworldin.com/editors-picks
    http://www.economist.com/world-in-2015-app
    http://store.economist.com/Product-The_World_in_2015_in...
    https://itunes.apple.com/.../world-in-2015.../id479904046...

    Dupa aceea, sa vedem ce zic ei insisi:


    Optimism is in short supply as thoughts turn to 2015. Two grand gatherings towards the end of the year, the un’s meeting to set “sustainable development goals” and a get-together in Paris to combat climate change, will show whether countries can agree on ways to tackle some of the planet’s biggest issues. But for much of 2015 it will be the world’s divisions—economic, political and cultural—that will draw most attention.
    The West’s economies are coming to a fork in the road. America and Britain, now moving ahead at a decent pace, are heading towards higher interest rates courtesy of the Federal Reserve and the Bank of England; the euro zone and Japan, in danger of slipping into recession and deflation, will take the opposite path of more monetary stimulus. That will make for volatility in financial markets. Fed rate rises, the troubles of the euro-zone laggards and worries about Chinese growth all have the potential to spread panic.
    In 2015 international co-operation on many issues will suffer from the strength of nationalism. The West will argue over how robustly to respond to a rising China and a rogue Russia. Within America political divisions will be even more glaring than before as a Republican-controlled Congress confronts President Barack Obama.
    Culturally, a particularly striking divide will be evident in attitudes to gays. Half the world will be more liberal than ever. Elsewhere, restrictions will spread.
    The noise surrounding these divisions will stop many people noticing the progress in all sorts of areas in 2015. The world economy should grow a bit faster than it did in 2014, led by America. The West's belated response to the outbreak of Ebola and the rise of Islamic State should begin to have an impact. A trans-Pacific free-trade deal is within reach. So is a peace agreement between Colombia’s government and the farc guerrillas; with luck, that will end more than half a century of fighting.
    At times the progress in technology will be almost spooky, as smartphones seem to read their owners’ minds, cheap sequencing reads genomes and cars accelerate towards intelligent communication. In Silicon Valley, wearable technology will be all the rage. The reach of technology prompts Ann Wroe, The Economist’s obituaries editor, to bid farewell to escapism. Yet Lucy Kellaway of the Financial Times cheerfully expects a return to nine-to-five at the office.
    Not everyone can agree on what the future will hold or what will matter most; the range of voices in The World in 2015 helps to make it a rich read. Politicians outline plans for reforms (Matteo Renzi for Italy, Joko Widodo for Indonesia). Others focus on hopes for human development (Hillary Clinton for women, Bill Gates for children and the world’s poorest). Carl Icahn offers thoughts for investors. David Blaine reassures us that magic will still work in an age when the secret behind almost any trick is only a Google search away.
    Indeed, there will be magic moments to suit all tastes in the year ahead. Plucky teams will prepare to break world records on land, on water and in the air. Sports fans can look forward to a trio of World Cups (cricket, rugby and women’s football). Cinema-goers will flock to a new Bond movie, a Star Wars sequel and the film adaptation of “Fifty Shades of Grey”.
    Film buffs will recall that 2015 was the year to which the heroes travelled forward in “Back to the Future Part II”. No time-travel will happen in the next 12 months, but an extraordinary space voyage will capture the imagination: after travelling for nearly nine years and across 3 billion miles, nasa’s New Horizons spacecraft will reach Pluto in July. For all its divisions, the world will join together in wonder.
    Daniel Franklin Editor, The World in 2015

  • Prospectiv A-z Nationalism is back
    Gideon Rachman Nov 9th, 2014 
    In Asia the extra spice is a shifting balance of power

    In recent years, any writer who predicted that nationalism was the wave of the future would have been regarded as eccentric—at best. All the most powerful forces in business, technology and finance seemed to be pushing towards deeper international integration. New supranational organisations such as the World Trade Organisation, the g20 and the International Criminal Court were set up to handle the cross-border issues that proliferated in a globalised world. Meanwhile the European Union, an organisation in which countries pool sovereignty and forswear nationalism, set itself up as the political model for the 21st century.
    In 2015, however, it will become increasingly clear that nationalism is back. From Europe to Asia to America, politicians who base their appeal on the idea that they are standing up for their own countries will grow in power and influence. The result will be an increase in international tensions and an unpromising background for efforts at multilateral co-operation, whether on climate, trade, taxation or development.
    The resurgence of the nationalist style in politics became evident in 2014. In India Narendra Modi, who is often referred to as a Hindu nationalist, won a sweeping general-election victory. Nationalist parties made big gains in the elections to the European Parliament, with France’s National Front and Britain’s United Kingdom Independence Party (ukip) topping the polls. Scottish nationalists came unnervingly close to winning a referendum on independence from the United Kingdom. Nationalist rhetoric also surged in Vladimir Putin’s Russia, as the Kremlin rallied domestic support for the annexation of Crimea by using the Russian media to portray the outside world as hostile, even fascist.
    Fuel for the fire
    A widespread disillusion with political and business elites, after years of disappointing economic growth, is a common factor that underpins resurgent nationalism across the globe. In western Europe the added ingredient is anger at high levels of immigration. In Russia it is lingering humiliation about the collapse of the Soviet Union and nostalgia for great-power status. In Asia the extra spice is a shifting balance of power that has encouraged nations such as China and South Korea to focus on historical grievances, particularly against Japan. In America outrage at the growth of Islamic State has begun to stoke an appetite for a return to a more assertive and militarised foreign policy.
    Many of these forces will strengthen in 2015. So the nationalist tone to global politics will be more marked.
    In Europe key gauges of the strength of nationalism will be the general election in Britain and some local elections in Germany. A strong showing by ukip in Britain will stoke fears that the country may soon leave the European Union. Meanwhile, the Alternative for Germany party, which argues that German interests have been subordinated to the eu’s, will push to establish itself as the country’s third political force. The French political class will nervously watch opinion polls for more evidence of the rise of the National Front’s leader, Marine Le Pen, as a viable candidate for the presidency.
    The most serious threat to the stability of Europe, however, remains Russian nationalism. The biggest security question facing Europe—and perhaps the world—will be whether President Putin rides the nationalist wave he has helped to create, and continues to threaten Ukraine and even the Baltic states.
    The relationship between nationalist rhetoric and territorial disputes will also be critical to the future of Asia. Mr Modi of India, Shinzo Abe of Japan and Xi Jinping of China are all energetic nation-builders who have used nationalism as a spur to domestic reforms. But their nationalism also has an outward-looking face. Asia’s big question in 2015 is whether the urge to get on with domestic reforms in China, India and Japan will trump international rivalries. There are grounds for optimism. Though tensions remain high over issues such as the dispute between China and Japan over islands, political leaders are likely to try to manage their differences without conceding on basic issues of principle.
    Overall, however, the resurgence of nationalist politics will make 2015 a bad year for international co-operation. The eu will struggle to agree on the measures needed to revive Europe’s economy and to deal with Russia. Russia itself will be increasingly marginalised. That will make it hard to achieve agreement at the un on everything from the Middle East to climate-change negotiations. The globalised economic system will survive the revival of nationalism in 2015, but co-operation between nations will nosedive.
    Gideon Rachman: chief foreign-affairs columnist, Financial Times

  • Prospectiv A-z .

    The future of magic
    David Blaine Nov 9th, 2014 There is no technology that will supersede humankind’s willingness to believe in magic, predicts David Blaine, magician and endurance artist 
    The secret is that magicians influence what you think by using your own preconceived ideas of the world around you to amaze you

    To peer into the future of magic, it helps to start by looking at its past. If I were to perform for you the first known card trick to have been written down, it would be very likely to fool you just as it fooled audiences in Italy in 1478. The techniques behind it are still used today. Magicians have a long and secret history of preserving our best methods. But great magic requires more than merely mastering the mechanics. It requires mastering the audience.
    Take Harry Houdini. A century ago onlookers were gripped by the sight of a man in a straitjacket dangling from a skyscraper. Houdini’s escape act was brand new and thrilling, allowing his name to become synonymous with achieving the impossible. It was an innovative performance, but not the product of new technology. Instead, Houdini engaged his audience emotionally, by playing to their hopes and fears. That is why it worked so well.
    Magic is a form of applied psychology. The psychological basis of performance magic has been used much as it is today for thousands of years.
    Several years ago, in preparation for a television special, I travelled to the deepest part of the Venezuelan rain forest and visited the Yanomami tribe. These families lived more or less as they had 5,000 or 10,000 years ago. Nothing had substantially changed for them. I was amazed to witness their lead shaman performing what I could easily recognise as sleight-of-hand magic—but he was using it to make his audience believe that seemingly impossible difficulties could be overcome.
    Magicians have also long exploited science to create entertaining spectacles, sometimes using technology well before the general public would become aware of it. One 17th-century German priest is thought to have been the first to publish the notion of the magic lantern. This new device could create spectres which looked like pure magic to the audience. It was used as a secret device for centuries before descending down to the everyday world and being renamed the slide projector.
    Another innovator was Jean Eugène Robert-Houdin (from whom Houdini would take his name). In 1856 he used the scarcely known phenomenon of electromagnetism to help stop a rebellion against colonial France in Algeria. He outdid local religious leaders by showing that, seemingly through will-power, he could make even the strongest man unable to lift a small iron box that a small child could pick up.
    Today, of course, it is not so easy to have such a technological advantage over the audience. In the information age we have magicians concerned that YouTube exposures will kill their craft. It is true that most secrets can be Googled and discovered in moments with an iPhone. Just Google “How do you cut a woman in two?” and you come up with myriad links and even a Wikipedia article on the subject.
    But will these illusion-destroying spoilers really matter? The challenge for magicians is to keep reinventing our art. That is actually what makes the future exciting.
    This is not the first time that magicians have come under pressure. In 1872 an Englishman named Angelo Lewis, posing under the pseudonym “Professor Hoffmann”, began revealing secrets of magic for the public in a boys’ magazine and then a book, “Modern Magic”. Magicians feared for their future, as audience members would learn the secrets behind their tricks.
    Not only did the book fail to kill magic, it became one of its most important boosters, by inspiring children to take an interest­­—and encouraging some to become magicians themselves. Magic went on to enjoy a golden period, becoming more popular than ever.
    All in the mind
    One of the wonderful things about the art of magic is that it doesn’t really matter where the trap door is. This is not the secret. The secret is that magicians influence what you think by using your own preconceived ideas of the world around you to amaze you. We realise that you will think your own experience while watching magic is unique to you, but we know that, in general, everyone thinks in more or less the same way. Even as it gets harder to have a technological edge, applying this psychological edge offers us nearly limitless possibilities.
    Much of the secret innovation behind magic will not appear on YouTube. It comes from endless hours of trial and error in an effort to understand our audience.
    Details will change and methods will improve, but we know that the card tricks that would have amazed Leonardo da Vinci will still amaze you. In this respect the art of magic may carry a wider lesson for our technology-obsessed age. As in many professions in 2015 and beyond, it is the primitive skill of understanding people, perceptions and relationships that will increasingly matter.

  • Prospectiv A-z .
    Mai departe, fiecare cu deductiile sale. Cum comentam si la postarea cu textul d-lui Severin, liderii de acum (NI) se adreseaza ca (LA) cretinasi. Insa mesajele din aceasta imagine pot fi luate si la modul bate shaua sa priceapa...

  • Prospectiv A-z .
    Problema nu-i ca *previziunile* Davos sunt gresite, ci cu ce se face pentru a (nu) deveni realitate. Chestiunile de pe coperta Economistului pot fi interpretate ca previziuni sau schema lumii in acceptiunea elitelor vestice daca nu si sugestie pentru un plan de actiune.
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